Archive for the ‘Gambling’ Category

Gambler’s Corner: Playoff Edition – Week 2

Friday, January 11th, 2008

By Joe Moskwa

I would have to say this is my favorite playoff weekend of the entire NFL season. But before I get to my rambling, let’s recap last week’s games.

It was like the Seahawks were saying to the ‘Skins in the third quarter last week, “Miss this field goal and you’re DONE.”

Props to Eli for winning his first playoff game.

Titans? How did you make the playoffs without moving the ball an INCH all year?

And I heard the LAMEST statistic during the Steelers – Jags game last week. It went something like this: “The Steelers have never lost to the same team twice at home in one season before”. Let’s think about this for a moment. Look at any NFL team’s schedule any given season. Peep their home games. Yup, you guessed it; eight DIFFERENT opponents for eight different games. Great stat, Sherlock. If I hadn’t been pounding beers all day I would tell you who came up with this little nugget of non-wisdom.

Anyway, yes this is my favorite playoff week. We have four games to watch again, and I’d say at least six of these remaining teams are worthy of a title. As for last week? It looked nice on paper, but wasn’t as exciting as I had thought it would be. I did go 3-1 straight up, which I feel is a feat. Before I looked at the spreads for this week, I was pumped up at the thought of some good games. But Vegas says they are ALL going to be blowouts. I hope they’re wrong. I just want to see at least a couple of close games. If I were to wager? I’d probably (maybe) take the points in all games but the Indy game. I’m feeling an Indy POUNDING on the Chargers, but the game I’m most interested in watching is, of course, the Pats-Jags game. Which reminds me, I heard there’s another conference of teams playing some big games this weekend. I’m told they call themselves the “NFC”. (Okay, I made this joke a few days ago and someone said I should put it in the blog. I really don’t mean it, Brett, I swear. Same to you Terrell, I hope we’re still boys).

Onto the picks…

Divisional Playoffs – Saturday, Jan. 12
#3 Seattle Seahawks at #2 Green Bay Packers – Pack by 7.5
Let’s play a game while watching this. Let’s count how many times they show the Matt Hasselbeck “We want the ball and we’re gonna SCORE,” clip during the game. After that, let’s count how many times they mention Holmgren’s return to Lambeau. And that Holmgren was a mentor to Favre, and now a mentor to Hass. Also, I might have to break a Golden Rule of gambling. Pack at home always automatic? Right? Sure, I feel they’ll win. But something about Holmgren’s return says to take the points. Pack by 4-6.
PICK: Take the Waterfowl and the points (+7.5), but the Pack still wins.

#5 Jacksonville Jaguars at #1 New England Patriots – Pats giving 13.5
Well, here it is. Like I said, Jacksonville and Indy are the two teams with a prayer of knocking off the Pats. But what Vegas is saying here is the Pats aren’t going to let ANYONE stop them from finishing what they started. I’m calling a close game with New England making an extra play or two at the end, and winning by about 10.
PICK: Take the black cats and all those points (+13.5), but the Pats prevail.

Divisional Playoffs – Sunday, Jan. 13
#3 San Diego Chargers at #2 Indianapolis Colts – Bolts getting 9.5
It would be a total waste of NFL space if the Chargers were going to New England this weekend. I’m still just not sold on Philip Rivers. He does nothing for me. A total stud TE and the best RB in the game just doesn’t get an AFC team to the Super Bowl. Even with one of the FASTEST defenses in the game. I wonder if they would’ve kept Brees if he didn’t get hurt in his last game out there? I hope the Browns aren’t about to pull a ‘Chargers’ and dump their Brees (Derek Anderson) for their Rivers (Quinn). Anyway, this is the defending champions’ first playoff game of the season. ROLLLL Peyton roll.
PICK: Give the points and take the Colts.

#5 New York Giants at #1 Dallas Cowboys – ‘Boys by 7.5
The Cowboys and Jaguars are my sleepers this playoff season. Well, it’s hard to call the top seed a sleeper, but I don’t think people realize how close Dallas is to winning the Super Bowl this year. Terrell says get the popcorn ready for this one. As for the Giants? I don’t see them laying down. They’re gonna be able to move the ball. If I were to bet on this one, I’d have to take the points. Plus, they’re HOT. My bet is that this will be the best game of the group.
PICK: G-Men and the touchdown, (+7.5).

STRONGEST PICK: Indy –9.5
SECOND STRONGEST PICK: Giants + 7.5
BETTINGTIP: Tell your bookie that you’re staying away from the Pack and Pats this week. Just turn on the tube and enjoy the show.

Gambler’s Corner: Playoff Edition – Week 1

Friday, January 4th, 2008

By Joe Moskwa

The playoffs are here, and from the looks of things, this weekend should be entertaining. I absolutely love these match-ups, and it’s hard to not pull for ALL of the teams involved.

Even though I already talked about how slow it can seem to watch a lone NFL game – due to the endless commercials and how long the red-flag challenges are – I’m really looking forward to it. I won’t even mention this again, but there ARE a couple of things I’m still not sold on. First, division winners; I still stand by the fact I believe winning a division is very overrated. Take Tampa Bay for instance. They’re one of my favorite teams, I’ve been to their stadium, I’m a huge Garcia, Galloway fan, but they finished 9-7. 9-7 is okay, but they are HOSTING a first round game? Hosting a 10-6 team? Just because they won a division? It’s like the Giants are being penalized for being in the same division as the Cowboys. This will happen almost every year when the number of divisions in each conference (4) doubles the number of non-division winning wild card teams (2) every year. The same goes for Jacksonville (11-5) traveling up to play in Pittsburgh (Steelers 10-6) this Sunday. C’mon NFL, it should go by record.

The other thing I’m not sold on? The New England Patriots winning the Super Bowl. Now while I’d LOVE to make a bold prediction and pick a specific team that’s going to knock off the PATS (say the Colts), and then stick by it and see it come true. But I’m not doing that. All I’m really saying is the Pats put a lot of energy into the regular season, and there are going to be two VERY powerful AFC teams GUNNING for them soon. My call is the two Patriots games will be close, and I won’t be surprised if they get knocked off. The Jags are sound, and the Colts are still the champs. I’d mention the Chargers here, but I don’t think they are built correctly to knock off this year’s Patriots. The Colts and/or Jags will come closest, and if one of those two makes the Super Bowl, the Colts take the Cowboys, but the Cowboys take out the Jags. If the Pats make the Super Bowl? Blowout win.

Okay, onto the picks.

Saturday
Washington Redskins (9-7) at Seattle Seahawks (10-6)
– Waterfowls by 3.5
Maxim magazine picked Joe Gibbs as one of their top five coaches this year – to get fired. Nice call guys. Others mentioned? Coach Crennel of the Browns, and Coach McCarthy of the Packers. See? I’m not the ONLY one making bad picks! Also, my BIGGEST pet peeve around here in Michigan: All the fans that root for the Patriots just because Tom Brady went to Michigan. Yeah that’s real hard to root for the top team. And most of them are women. Drives me nuts. One woman I know went to Michigan State, and she didn’t believe me when I mentioned Brady went to Michigan. The others? Quick, name the quarterback Brady replaced. Hint: He also took the Pats to a Super Bowl. [dead silence]. Who is the QB for the Redskins? [dead silence]. It’s Todd Collins. What college did he attend? [dead silence]. This is what I have to deal with around here. “Visiting season” just passed (that’s where I get stuck going to gatherings on Sundays, and I have to listen to simple-minded statements while football is on), and when I have to hear someone rooting for the Pats and not the ‘Skins, it’s almost the same as rooting for Bill Gates and the big oil companies. Anyway, my point here is: Go Todd Collins. I hope you have a starting job next year. The rest of you? Your fanhood has been revoked.
PICK: Gibbs and the racial slurs! (+3.5)

Jacksonville Jaguars (11-5) at Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6) – Iron City getting 3
Don’t get me started on how the Jags have to fly up to the Steel City. Oh wait, I already got started. Okay, I called the Jags “boring to watch” this year. I did. Well, that’s probably because they play playoff-style football in the regular season. Run, manage the clock, run, manage the clock, play sound defense, play sound defense. All the little things you’ll NEVER see out of the Detroit Lions. I’m looking forward to the Jags taking this one outright.
PICK: Black Cats giving the figgie. (-3)

Sunday
New York Giants (10-6) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-7)
– Bucs by 3
Another fun game to watch. I still can’t stress how much I love this week’s games. I’d go to this game… if my wife would let me. Odds of that happening? 0%. Not even 0.5 or 0.7. Zero. Thank god there’s this new invention that I just adore. It’s called the television. And mine will be tuned into channel Tampa this Sunday. Pick? Giants. By about 4. Why? Because I’m calling it now! The MANNING-MANNING Super Bowl! (Just kidding). Eli isn’t quite there yet.
PICK: G-Men and the figgie. (+3)

Tennessee Titans (10-6) at San Diego Chargers (11-5) – Bolts by 10
The Titans released Steve McNair last year because he always seemed to be getting hurt. His replacement? Vince Young. This is like the time a buddy of mine got rid of his black Labrador retriever because she sheds too much, but then he goes out and gets a German shepherd. If Vince Young even plays this Sunday, we won’t know for how long. There’s a good chance a Nittany Lion will be taking some Titan snaps on Sunday. PICK? The Chargers are charged, LT is rolling, and I gotta take the Bolts at home. Covering the spread? Probably not. Only because the Titans had them on the ropes a few weeks back, and Jeff Fisher rarely lets his team lay down.
PICK: Take the Thumbtacks and all those points. (+10)

And here’s a little preview for 2008 you can start paying attention to right now. Quarterbacks to watch for next year in regards to them starting or not, and WHERE they’ll be playing: Steve McNair, Todd Collins, Drew Stanton, Chris Redman, Kurt Warner.

Happy New Year.

Gambler’s Corner: Week 17

Friday, December 28th, 2007

By Joe Moskwa


I was 1-1 on my big parlay last week, thanks to the Cowboys. (I thought they would cover the 11 points against the Panthers.) What a year so far, I still can’t put my finger on anything. Well, a COUPLE things have been easy to pick. Like the Jaguars. Or the Packers at home. Or the Pats to just win outright. Well, I was 2-1 in the non-parlay picks, which would’ve put me at about even for this week if I’d have actually placed those bets.


As for THIS week, it’s Week 17. For those of you that are unfamiliar, Week 17 in the NFL is like no other week. There will be about a handful of games that actually MEAN something, and I don’t think we have even ONE game that features BOTH teams playing for something. If you’re going to wager this weekend, there are a couple easy strategies to look at. First, please don’t touch any games that have two teams that aren’t playing for a spot. Second, learn which teams will be benching starters. How would one know that, you ask? Well, you don’t. Unless those same teams have done it in years past, which we have here. (I’ll get to that.)


One last thing before the picks; let’s have a moment of silence for the NFL regular season. It’s gone. All the intense channel-flipping between numerous games is over. Fantasy football is gone. Most of your favorite teams are done for the season too. Next week the playoffs start, and we all know what comes with it. Sure, the best teams are playing, and the games get better (for the most part), but have you ever sat down and just tried to watch just ONE NFL game? Well sure you have, but while I compare this to watching 4-6 games at one time, I can’t bare to think about sitting through all those commercials, and even worse, when there’s a coach’s challenge. Whenever I see a red flag, that’s a “flag” for me to get up, hit the john, get another drink, maybe grab a snack, perhaps look out the window, maybe do a shot… then come back and see if the challenge is done. During the regular season, that red flag is a prompt to checkout a different game. I’ll still watch every game though, but I will miss the regular season.


Okay, onto the picks…


Saturday night
New England Patriots (15-0) at New York Giants (10-5) – G-Men getting 14.5

The Giants clinched their playoff spot, and a win this week does NOTHING for them. I also heard Coach Coughlin say something along the lines of how the rest of the NFL couldn’t knock the Pats off, so why is it up to them to ruin the perfect season? This is code for a white flag. Also, is their anything short of creating a Pro-bowl type team for this game to try and stop the Pats from going 16-0? I doubt it. While I haven’t picked the Pats correctly ONCE this season, I’m calling it now.

PICK: Pats cover the two touchdowns and change.


Sunday
Detroit Lions (7-8) at Green Bay Packers (12-3) – MotorCity Kitties getting 3.5

There isn’t a thing that can be decided here, playoff-wise. But did you know that the Lions make the trip to Lambeau every year and haven’t won there in 16 seasons? This is a personal bet I make every year, just because. I’m gonna bet it until I lose, and I haven’t lost since I was in grade school. I gotta go Packers.

PICK: Take the Cheeseheads and give the figgie and change.


The next two picks I’m going to make are based on teams that I KNOW will be sitting starters. These two games will conclude my picks for this week. I’m confident in at least a 3-1 record for this weekend.


Dallas Cowboys (13-2) at Washingtong Redskins (8-7) – ‘Boys getting 9.5

The Cowboys have homefield LOCKED. Expect to see Brad Johnson and several other backups playing. The Redskins control their playoff fate, so a win this Sunday gets them an invite to the post-season dance. This is one of the easier bets for me to make this weekend. (The Vikings sure blew it this year, didn’t they?) TAKE THE SKINS

PICK: Racial slurs giving nearly double-digits.


Tennessee Titans (9-6) at Indianapolis Colts (13-2) – Horsies getting 6

The Colts do it EVERY year. Automatic. Their last one or two games mean nothing, and they just lay down. If you are still playing fantasy football this week, and you have Peyton Manning or Joseph Addai, please bench them because Coach Dungy will be doing the same. Also, the Titans control their own fate as well. Unfortunately for the Cleveland Browns, they will be the odd team out when Tennessee wraps this win up. Take the Titans.

PICK: Thumbtacks giving the six.


Some notes before I wrap up:


Teams that REALLY blew it this year: Saints, Browns, Vikings. I’m especially bummed about the Browns. I wanted to go catch a Steelers-Browns or a Colts-Browns playoff game this year, in person. I still may catch a match in the RCA Dome anyway.


Expect a playoff “Gambler’s Corner” for the postseason. I got a week to try to get an explanation together on how the Pats aren’t winning the Super Bowl this year. (I might not even be able to convince MYSELF they won’t win though).


My New Year’s Resolutions: Be funnier when I write. Drink MORE before I write. Visit the Hall of Fame in 5 years when Roger Clemens is inducted. (Editor’s note: No way Clemens makes the first ballot. Not happening.) Try not to pick on Michigan fans as much. I bet Coach Rodriguez could beat Appalachian State though.

Happy New Year. Only a coule more days until champagne, lamb chops and some good bowl games.